Denver Nuggets (23-12) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (19-14)
January 5, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia 76ers -11.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets travel to the Xfinity Mobile Arena to battle the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday night. Here’s a 76ers vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a 76ers vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been struggling lately as they’ve dropped four of their past five games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting trampled by the Nets in a 127-115 road defeat last night. Jamal Murray led the team with 27 points and 16 assists on 11 of 23 shooting, Peyton Watson added 23 points on eight of 14 shooting, Tim Hardaway Jr scored 26 points while Aaron Gordon chipped in with 20 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 48 percent from the field and 11 of 31 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to stay within striking distance in the first half. However, the Nuggets allowed 41 points in the third quarter to see the deficit balloon to 22 points at one stage.
Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers have been in decent shape as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after routing the Knicks in a 130-119 road win on Saturday. Tyrese Maxey led the team with 36 points, eight rebounds and four assists on 14 of 22 shooting, Joel Embiid and VJ Edgecombe each scored 26 points while Paul George chipped in with 15 points, eight rebounds and six assists. As a team, the 76ers shot 54 percent from the field and 17 of 36 from the 3-point line as they poured in 35 points in the second quarter to take an eight-point lead into halftime. They kept their foot on the gas until they led by 19 points, which was more than enough to hold off a late rally from the Knicks.
Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win
- The 76ers have won 22 of their last 23 games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six road games.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The 76ers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The 76ers have lost each of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites following a win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Nuggets’ last 10 night games against the 76ers following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Sixteen of the 76ers’ last 18 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
76ers vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still missing Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson and Jonas Valanciunas, while the 76ers have ruled out Kelly Oubre Jr and Trendon Watford once again. The Nuggets have really gone cold since Jokic got injured, and now they are even thinner at the center spot with Valanciunas getting injured also. The 76ers are building nicely with three wins on the trot, they are relatively healthy, and they should have a major advantage in the paint with Embiid in fine form at the moment. The Nuggets are big underdogs in this matchup and rightfully so, especially because they are playing their second game of a back to back set. With that being said, I will stick with the 76ers to continue their strong run with another win and cover in this spot.
