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Suns vs Hawks Prediction 11/16/25 NBA Picks Today

Atlanta Hawks (8-5) vs. Phoenix Suns (8-5)
November 16, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns +1.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Hawks travel to the Mortgage Matchup Center to battle the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night. Here’s a Suns vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs Hawks Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks have been a team on the rise, as they’ve won five of their last six games overall. They will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after taking down the Jazz in a 132-122 road win on Thursday. Onyeka Okongwu led the team with 32 points and 11 rebounds on 11 of 18 shooting, Jalen Johnson racked up a triple-double of 31 points with 18 rebounds and 14 assists, while Vit Krejci chipped in with 20 points on seven of nine shooting off the bench.
As a team, the Hawks shot 51 percent from the field and a sizzling 24 of 47 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 42 points in the first quarter to take an 18-point lead. Before they had to fight back in the fourth quarter after the Jazz fought back to tie the scores.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in great shape, as they’ve won seven of their last eight games overall. They will be looking to build on their current five-game win streak after routing the Pacers in a 133-98 home win on Thursday. Devin Booker led the team with 33 points and seven assists on 12 of 22 shooting, Dillon Brooks tallied 32 points on 12 of 18 shooting, while Oso Ighodaro chipped in with 17 points and three blocks on seven of nine shooting off the bench.
As a team, the Suns shot a sizzling 58 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running on offense. They were always in control after pouring in 39 points in the second quarter to take an 18-point lead into halftime that only grew as the game wore on.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Hawks have lost each of their nine previous games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a win.
  • The home team has won 12 of the last 13 games between the Hawks and Suns.
  • The home team has covered the spread in 12 of the last 13 games between the Hawks and Suns.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a win.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Suns have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have won each of their last four games.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Suns’ last six games against the Hawks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Hawks’ last nine games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Suns vs Hawks Prediction

The Hawks are still shorthanded with Trae Young ruled out, while the Suns will be without Jalen Green and Grayson Allen for this one. The Hawks might have expected to struggle when they lost Trae Young to injury, but instead they’ve really started to play some good basketball lately, with players like Okongwu and Johnson really stepping up.
Meanwhile, the Suns have barely put a foot wrong over the past eight games, and they looked great in their 35-point win over the Pelicans on Thursday. You can make an argument for either side here, but with the Suns a little banged up, I can see the Hawks coming away with the narrow win and cover in this one.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Atlanta -1.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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