Suns vs Warriors Prediction 10/24/26 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat after falling just short to the Grizzlies in a 111-108 home loss last night. Stephen Curry tried his best as he led the way with 24 points on five of 15 shooting; Yaxel Lendeborg and Brandin Podziemski each scored 18 points, while De’Anthony Melton chipped in with 10 points off the bench.

As a team, the Warriors shot 41 percent from the field and 14 of 41 from the 3-point line as they shook off a slow start and looked to be in control after taking a 12-point lead in the third quarter, but they couldn’t make their shots when it counted most and scored just 18 points in the fourth quarter to see the Grizzlies slip away at the end.

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns will be eager to atone for their poor showing on opening night, when they got trampled by the Trail Blazers in a 124-83 road defeat on Wednesday. Devin Booker led the team with 23 points on seven of 13 shooting, while Dillon Brooks and Jalen Green each scored 10 points, but nobody else finished in double figures in points.

As a team, the Suns shot a miserly 36 percent from the field and six of 32 from the 3-point line as they failed to start the game with any urgency and quickly found themselves trailing by 43-12 heading into the second quarter. Oso Ighodaro finished with just eight points while Collin Gillespie finished scoreless on zero of eight shooting from the field.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won 23 of their last 24 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Warriors have lost seven of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 road games against Suns teams that held a losing record.
• The Suns have lost each of their last five games.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs following a home loss.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between the Warriors and Suns have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns ranked 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage last season (34.7%).
• The Suns ranked 29th for points in the paint (3536) last season.
• The Warriors ranked 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game last season (44.1).
• The Warriors ranked T2nd in the league for steals per game last season (9.7).

The Warriors are still missing Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, and Jimmy Butler III, while the Suns have ruled out Oso Ighodaro and Mark Williams, with Luke Kennard listed as questionable with a knee injury.

The Warriors have had to rely heavily on Curry to generate offense for them, and it hasn’t worked out so far, and things only get tougher as they travel to battle the Suns on zero days’ rest. I understand why the Suns are favorites at home, but this line just seems too hefty, so I will take the Warriors with the points in this spot.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State +9.5