Suns vs Warriors Prediction 12/18/25 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors pay a visit to the Phoenix Suns at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Suns vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve lost eight of their last 12 games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling just short to the Trail Blazers in a 136-131 road defeat on Sunday. Stephen Curry drained 12 3-pointers to lead the team with 48 points on 16 of 26 shooting, Jimmy Butler III added 16 points with seven rebounds and four assists while Draymond Green tallied 14 points with eight rebounds and seven assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 51 percent from the field and 24 of 47 from the 3-point line as they looked like they had control when they led by five points in the fourth quarter, before the Trail Blazers closed the final 2:19 on a 15-5 run to snatch the game away at the end.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in a slump as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Lakers in a 116-114 loss on Sunday. Devin Booker led the team with 27 points and seven assists, Mark Williams added 20 points while Dillon Brooks chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Suns shot 49 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they went cold in the third quarter where they scored just 15 points to trail by 20 points. But they showed plenty of fight in the fourth quarter to run down the deficit and take the lead with just 12.2 seconds left on the clock. Before the Lakers’ LeBron James sunk the game-winning free throws with just 3.0 seconds left in the game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last seven games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a road loss.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 10 of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Suns have lost each of their last three home games.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Suns’ last seven games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Mark Williams ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for FG% (66.5%) this season.
• Grayson Allen is one of only six players in the league to have made 9+ threes in a game this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (5.2) this season.
• Jimmy Butler ranks 4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.8).
• The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 18 points vs Hawks on November 16.
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.2).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.0).

Suns vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors are still missing Al Horford and Pat Spencer, while the Suns have ruled out Jalen Green with Grayson Allen and Isaiah Livers both listed as questionable. The Warriors have been doing it tough lately and they weren’t able to get past the struggling Pacers in their last game despite 48 points from Curry. However, they still open as slight favorites against this banged up Suns team, who have gone cold over the past two weeks. These teams last met on Nov 10, and it was the Warriors who won by 118-107, but I am expecting a much closer outcome in this one. This is a tough one to pick, but the pressure is on the Warriors to start winning again, and I think they get it done at this short line.