Golden State Warriors (27-24) vs. Phoenix Suns (31-20)
February 5, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns -6.5; Over/Under: 217.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and the Phoenix Suns duke it out at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Suns vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting routed by the 76ers in a 113-94 loss on Tuesday. Gui Santos and Pat Spencer led the team with 13 points each, Moses Moody added 12 points while Al Horford and Quinten Post each scored 10 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 47 percent from the field and 19 of 48 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to keep pace with the 76ers in a tightly contested first half. Before they went cold and scored just 16 points in the third quarter to fall behind by as many as 22 points. Buddy Hield had a quiet game of just nine points off the bench, while Draymond Green scored just six points on two of seven shooting.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to maintain that momentum after sneaking past the Trail Blazers in a 130-125 win on Tuesday. Collin Gillespie led the team with 30 points and 10 assists on 10 of 17 shooting, Mark Williams and Grayson Allen each scored 24 points while Jordan Goodwin chipped in with 16 points, 10 rebounds and five steals. As a team, the Suns shot 52 percent from the field and 20 of 41 from the 3-point line as they got off to a poor start and looked to be in trouble when they were trailing by 19 points. But they worked their way back into the game and made their move in the third quarter to take a 12-point lead, which was enough to get the job done in the end.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last 12 games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six road games against Suns teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Suns have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Suns’ last five games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Suns have lost each of their last two games as favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Suns’ last eight games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Thursday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Suns’ last 10 games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Suns vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still missing Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jimmy Butler III, while the Suns have ruled out Devin Booker, with Jalen Green listed as questionable. This would be a close contest if both teams were fully healthy for this matchup, but the Warriors have been struggling lately, and they are so much more vulnerable with Curry sitting out injured. So while the Suns have injuries of their own, I still like the Suns to come away with the win and cover at home in this spot.
