Oklahoma City Thunder (41-13) vs. Phoenix Suns (31-22)
February 11, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns +7.5; Over/Under: 217.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Phoenix Suns duke it out at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Suns vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder haven’t been playing anywhere near their best lately, as they’ve dropped five of their last nine games overall. But they will be feeling better after they snapped a two-game skid with a 119-110 road win over the Lakers on Monday. Jalen Williams led the team with 23 points, Isaiah Joe added 19 points, Alex Caruso tallied 17 points on seven of eight shooting, and Chet Holmgren chipped in with 13 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 33 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 36 points in the second quarter to take an early 14-point lead. They allowed the Lakers all the way back into the contest, and the possibility of overtime was growing until the Thunder scored the final six points of the game to secure the gritty road win.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in pretty good shape as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after taking down the Mavericks in a 120-111 home win last night. Dillon Brooks led the team with 23 points on 11 of 26 shooting, Devin Booker added 19 points with six assists while Mark Williams chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Suns shot 48 percent from the field and 16 of 50 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates and dominated the first quarter by 36-16. This allowed them to cruise the rest of the way in a game where they led by as many as 31 points at one stage.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last seven games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Suns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won 19 of their last 20 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Suns have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Mortgage Matchup Center against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Suns’ last six games against the Thunder following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Suns vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ajay Mitchell, while the Suns have ruled out Grayson Allen, Isaiah Livers, and Cole Anthony. The Thunder have cooled off a bit in recent games, but they are coming into this one fresh off a gritty win over the Lakers. Now they take on a Suns squad who are playing their second game of a back-to-back set. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Thunder leading the series by 2-1, but the Suns beat the Thunder by 108-105 back on Jan. 4 and I think we’re in for another close contest. With that being said, while I still expect the Thunder to win, I don’t think it will be a blowout in this one.
