
Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction 3/28/25 NBA Picks Today
Cleveland Cavaliers (59-14) vs. Detroit Pistons (41-32)
March 28, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +6; Over/Under: 230.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons meet on Friday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs Cavaliers Pick.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Spurs and Trail Blazers, and they play the Clippers, Knicks, and Spurs next. The Cavs have won 19 of their last 23 games since February 5.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 122.3 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 23.7 points and 4.8 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 20.7 points and 6.6 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 10 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons beat the Pelicans and Spurs, and they play the Timberwolves, Thunder, and Raptors next. The Pistons have won 16 of their last 22 games and are currently in the fifth seed in the East.
The Detroit Pistons are averaging 115.4 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 113.1 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 25.7 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Malik Beasley is averaging 16.2 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Duren is grabbing 10.3 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pistons have won nine of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Cavaliers have lost 24 of their last 30 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Pistons.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Pistons have lost each of their last 28 games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last 12 games against the Pistons.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last eight Friday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (41.9).
- The Pistons have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons – equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (122.3).
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.4%).
Pistons vs Cavaliers Injury Report
The Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey and Cade Cunningham.
The Cavs will be without Jaylon Tyson. Ty Jerome and Evan Mobley are questionable.
Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction
I’m not ready to say the Cavs have figured things out because they beat three straight teams that won’t make the playoffs, but their cover percentage of 61.1 percent is the second-best in the NBA. The Pistons are a tough-minded team, and games like this are key to build confidence that they belong, but they’re going to be without Cunningham, the one guy on the team who creates offense.
It’s going to be hard for the Pistons to find easy offense down their best player and going against a Cavs defense that’s top-10 in scoring and top-five in field goal percentage defense. I’ll lay the points with the Cavs on Friday night.