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Pistons vs Pacers Prediction 11/17/25 NBA Picks Today

Indiana Pacers (1-12) vs. Detroit Pistons (11-2)
November 17, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons -9.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers and Detroit Pistons meet Monday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Raptors and Suns, and they play the Hornets next. The Pacers have lost 12 of their last 13 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 108.7 points on 40.1 percent shooting and allowing 123.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting. Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 31 points and 7 rebounds, while Pascal Siakam is averaging 24.6 points and 7.1 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons beat the 76ers and Bulls, and they play the Hawks next. The Pistons have won 9 straight games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 118.2 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 27.5 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 19.4 points and 1.6 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Ausar Thompson is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last 10 road games.
  • The Pistons have won each of their last nine games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pistons have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Pacers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Pistons.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Pistons’ last four night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (22.6).
  • The Pistons rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.7).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (6.2).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (40.1%).

Pistons vs Pacers Injury Report

The Pistons will be without Marcus Sasser, Tobias Harris, Jaden Ivey, and Bobi Klintman. Cade Cunningham and Ausar Thompson are questionable.

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, and Quenton Jackson. Bennedict Mathurin is questionable.

Pistons vs Pacers Prediction

The Pacers could get a boost as Bennedict Mathurin has been upgraded to questionable, but that doesn’t change that the rest of the squad is out. It’s been a nightmare season for the Pacers, and they’re 5-8 ATS despite being big underdogs in most of these games.

The Pistons are the hottest team in the league, and they’re a profitable 9-4 ATS. The Pistons have covered 7 of their last 9 games. This limited Pacers squad is going to be in hell against this defensive pressure. Big line, but I can’t show the Pacers much attention until they get healthy. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Pistons -9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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