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Pistons vs Warriors Prediction 3/20/26 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors (33-36) vs. Detroit Pistons (50-19)
March 20, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons -6.5; Over/Under: 217.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Detroit Pistons meet Friday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs. Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs. Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Celtics, beat the Wizards, and will play the Hawks next. The Warriors have lost 16 of their last 22 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons beat the Wizards, lost to the Raptors, and play the Lakers next. The Pistons have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 117.4 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 109.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 24.5 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 19 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer, and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Warriors have lost each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Pistons teams that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Warriors’ last five games at Little Caesars Arena.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pistons have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Warriors’ last four road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Pistons’ last seven home games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

  • Jalen Duren has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (683) of any player in the league this season.
  • Ausar Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Will Richard ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
  • Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.3) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.3).
  • The Pistons rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.4).
  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.9%).
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.2).

Pistons vs Warriors Injury Report

Isaiah Stewart and Cade Cunningham are out for the Pistons.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Al Horford, and Moses Moody. Quinten Post is questionable.

Pistons vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors keep piling up the losses and aren’t a team I’m excited to back as long as they remain injured. However, the Pistons are at the end of a back-to-back and are now down Cunningham. This is a tough schedule spot for the Pistons and creates value in the road dog. The Pistons are 3-7 ATS on the season. We’ve been fading the Warriors for weeks but with the Cade news and them playing a second straight game, I’m going to lean toward Golden State and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Golden State Warriors +6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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