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Raptors vs Celtics Prediction 11/11/26 NBA Picks Today

Boston Celtics (9-2) vs. Toronto Raptors (5-5)
November 11, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors +7.5; Over/Under: 216.5
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Raptors vs Celtics Prediction

I’d love to fade the Celtics in this spot after a big win last night in Philly, where Jaylen Brown ignored Tatum and made for some awkward moments. It was an emotional game, and it could create a letdown spot. The problem is the Raptors have lost four of their last six games and have issues on the offensive end. Also, the Raptors are down their top two players in Barnes and Kawhi. There’s a chance Quickley doesn’t play either. It’s a lot to overcome, and it’s hard to compete in today’s NBA when down your best players.

The Celtics have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Raptors. Assuming there’s no hangover from last night, the Celtics should take full advantage of a banged-up Raptors side. I’ll lay the points with the Leprechauns on Wednesday night.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Bucks and 76ers, and they play the Mavs next. The Celtics have won 22 of their last 27 games. The Celtics are 4-2 SU on the road, 5-0 SU at home, and 6-5 ATS on the season.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 115.8 points per game on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 104 points per game on 42.3 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.1 points and 6 rebounds per game. Paul George is averaging 20.4 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Payton Pritchard is averaging 12.8 points and 3.3 rebounds per game. Derrick White is averaging 12.9 points and 5.3 assists per game. The Boston Celtics are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors lost to the Grizzlies, beat the Bucks, and they play the 76ers next. The Raptors have lost 5 of their last 8 games. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on the road, 2-2 SU at home, and 5-5 ATS on the season.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 116.6 points per game on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting. Scottie Barnes is averaging 23.5 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. RJ Barrett is averaging 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 19.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Immanuel Quickley is averaging 17.4 points and 5.8 assists per game. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Raptors vs Celtics Injury Report

Immanuel Quickley is questionable for the Raptors with a hamstring injury. Kawhi Leonard is out with a knee injury. Nate Bittle is out with an avulsion fracture. Scottie Barnes is out with a groin strain. Trayce Jackson-Davis is questionable with an illness. Collin Murray-Boyles is questionable with an illness.

The Celtics don’t have any players listed on their main roster.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The Raptors have won each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Celtics have lost each of their last four road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Raptors have lost each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Celtics.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Celtics’ last 11 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the last seven night games between the Celtics and Raptors at Scotiabank Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • RJ Barrett ranks T8th in the league for second-chance points (36) this season.
  • Jakob Poeltl ranks T48th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (6.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Raptors rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (11.1).
  • The Raptors rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (20.0).
  • The Celtics rank T1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.7).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (35.9).

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Celtics -7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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