Miami Heat (25-28) vs. Toronto Raptors (17-38)
February 21, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors +3.5; Over/Under: 221
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors meet Friday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Raptors vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Raptors vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Thunder and Mavericks, and they play the Bucks, Hawks, and Pacers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.7 points and 10.1 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Cavs, beat the 76ers, and they play the Suns, Celtics, and Pacers next. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 110.6 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 21.7 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 20.1 points and 7.9 rebounds. Gradey Dick is the third double-digit scorer, and Jakob Poeltl is dishing 2.8 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The home team has won each of the last six games between the Heat and Raptors.
- The Heat have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
- The Raptors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Heat following a loss.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
- The Heat have won each of their last 12 games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Raptors’ last six games.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Raptors’ last 11 games as home underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Raptors vs Heat Injury Report
The Raptors will be without Jakob Poeltl, Ulrich Chomche, PJ Tucker, and Brandon Ingram.
The Miami Heat will be without Kevin Love and Dru Smith.
Raptors vs Heat Prediction
The Miami Heat are the better team and should win, and they’ve won four of the last five games against the Raptors. However, the Heat have underachieved all season long, and that includes entering the break with bad losses to the Mavericks and Nets. The Heat have a serious offensive problem and have multiple quarters where they’ve scored single-digit points. The Raptors have been winning games since getting healthy, and they’re a profitable 32-22-1 ATS on the season. With an over percentage of 59.2 percent, the Raptors are the fourth-best cover team in the NBA. I just lack confidence in the Heat in my favorite role. I’ll take a stab with the Raptors and the points on Friday night.
