Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction 3/8/26 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (21-42) vs. Toronto Raptors (35-27)
March 8, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors -9.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Raptors vs. Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Raptors vs. Mavericks pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Magic and Celtics, and they play the Hawks next. The Mavs have lost 16 of their last 18 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Knicks and Timberwolves and play the Rockets next. The Raptors have won 10 of their last 18 games.
The Toronto Raptors are averaging 113.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 46 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds. RJ Barrett is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 5.9 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 14 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Raptors have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Raptors have covered the spread in five of their last six home games following a loss.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last 11 games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The road team has won seven of the Raptors’ last eight games.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday night games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between the Mavericks and Raptors has gone OVER the total points line.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Scottie Barnes is the only player in the league to have recorded 25+ rebounds in a game this season.
- Immanuel Quickley ranks 9th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (3.8) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.9) this season.
- Daniel Gafford ranks 11th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (1120) this season.
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (18.1) this season.
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
- The Mavericks have used 37 different starting fives this season—the most in the league.
Raptors vs Mavericks Injury Report
Chucky Hepburn and Collin Murray-Boyles are out for the Raptors. Brandon Ingram is questionable.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Marvin Bagley and Cooper Flagg are questionable.
Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction
This is a lot of points for a struggling Raptors team, and the Mavericks have a chance to be as healthy as they’ve been in weeks. The Mavs have also won 8 of the last 10 games against the Raptors. However, the Mavs continue to lose and not cover numbers, and they have just 7 road wins. This feels like a spot where the Raptors can find their footing and get back on track. If the Raptors don’t show up in this game, it might be time to hit the panic button. There are probably better options out there for Sundays card but if forced to pick, I’m going to lay the buckets with the Raptors. The Mavs just aren’t appealing right now.
