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Raptors vs Thunder Prediction 2/24/26 NBA Picks Today

Oklahoma City Thunder (44-14) vs. Toronto Raptors (34-23)
February 24, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors +1.5; Over/Under: 218.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Toronto Raptors meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Raptors vs. Thunder prediction. This article will include a Raptors vs. Thunder pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nets and Cavs and then played the Pistons next. The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.7 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors beat the Bulls and Bucks and play the Spurs next. The Raptors have won 9 of their last 13 games.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 113.8 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.8 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.3 points and 8.4 rebounds. RJ Barrett is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 6.1 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The Raptors have won four of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won 20 of their last 21 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Raptors have lost each of their last nine home games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Thunder’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Raptors’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • Scottie Barnes is the only player in the league to have recorded 25+ rebounds in a game this season.
  • Jamal Shead has recorded 52 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
  • Chet Holmgren is one of only two players to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (1086) this season.
  • The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (19.1) this season.
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.7).

Raptors vs Thunder Injury Report

Jakob Poeltl is out for the Raptors.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Ajay Mitchell. Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren are questionable.

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction

It’s not often you get the thunder in a soft spot like this, so I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking in that direction. However, the Raptors beat the Thunder on the road last month as 11-point underdogs. This time OKC will be without SGA, Jalen, and possibly Caruso and Chet. The Raptors have been one of the biggest surprises in the league, and they’re a profitable 30-27 ATS on the season.

At home and with the health advantage, the Raptors need to take advantage of games like this as they’re in the thick of the East standings for anywhere from a fifth to second seed. This is a spot where the Toronto crowd shows up, and the Raptors make a statement. Give me the home team in this toss-up.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Raptors +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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