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Rockets vs Celtics Prediction 2/4/26 NBA Picks Today

Boston Celtics (32-18) vs. Houston Rockets (31-17)
February 4, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -5.5; Over/Under: 215.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Celtics Pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Mavericks and Bucks, and they play the Heat next. The Celtics have won 24 of their last 34 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 116.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.4 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.4 points and 4.6 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer and Neemias Queta is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Pacers and Mavs, and they play the Hornets next. The Rockets have won 9 of their last 12 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 116 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21 points and 9.2 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Rockets have won each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Celtics have lost five of their last six games at Toyota Center following a win.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Rockets have lost 28 of their last 34 games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Rockets’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Alperen Sengun ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points in the paint per game (14.1) this season.
  • Tari Eason ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.9%) this season.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

  • Payton Pritchard has recorded 12 games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
  • Derrick White is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.4) and free-throw percentage (89.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (49.4).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.3).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.9).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.0).

Rockets vs Celtics Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Steven Adams.

The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum. Chris Boucher and Nikola Vucevic are questionable.

Rockets vs Celtics Prediction

The Celtics and the points are intriguing, but they played last night and could be undermanned in this spot. Simons was traded, and there are questions if Vucevic will be cleared in time to play. The Rockets are rested, at home, and Durant is expected to return from an ankle injury. The Rockets are 17-4 SU at home. The Rockets smacked the Celtics by 27 points back in November, for what that’s worth. This is just a tough schedule spot for the Celtics, given they played last night and just made a trade, which creates a depth issue. I’ll lay the reasonable line with the Rockets at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Houston Rockets -5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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