Rockets vs Hawks Prediction 3/20/26 NBA Picks Today
Atlanta Hawks (38-31) vs. Houston Rockets (41-27)
March 20, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -4.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and Houston Rockets meet Friday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs. Hawks Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the Magic and Mavs and play the Warriors next. The Hawks have won 11 straight games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.9 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Pelicans and lost to the Lakers, and they play the Heat next. The Rockets have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.7 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.3 points and 8.9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won 12 of their last 13 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have lost 10 of their last 11 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in 10 of the Hawks’ last 12 games.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last 11 games.
- The Rockets have lost nine of their last 10 games against Hawks teams that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last seven Friday games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Hawks’ last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Amen Thompson ranks 3rd in the league for points in the paint (816) this season.
- Alperen Sengun ranks 4th in the league for points in the paint (810) this season.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
- Dyson Daniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.5).
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.4).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
Rockets vs Hawks Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.
Jonathan Kuminga is out for the Hawks.
Rockets vs Hawks Prediction
The Rockets should get the benefit of the doubt at home and they’re due for a win after a rough week. However, in what world am I going to lay points with the struggling Rockets and step in front of the red-hot Hawks? It makes no sense. The Hawks have won 11 straight games and are 10-1 ATS in those games as well. The Hawks have a pep in their step and we’ve been backing them blindly along the way. For their talent level, the Rockets have been underwhelming as of late and they’re 29-39 ATS on the season. Give me the points.

