
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction 3/14/25 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (33-34) vs. Houston Rockets (41-25)
March 14, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -11.5; Over/Under: 224
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet Friday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Suns, split with the Spurs, and they play the 76ers, Pacers, and Pistons next. The Mavs have lost six of their last seven games and have dropped to the 10th seed.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kai Jones is averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Suns and Magic, and they play the Bulls, 76ers, and Heat next. The Rockets have won four straight games and have a chance to earn home court in the first round.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.2 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.1 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.3 points and 10.4 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Amen Thompson is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last eight home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last eight home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 30th in the league for assists per game this season (22.8).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.0).
- The Mavericks rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.3).
- The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.6).
Rockets vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Reed Sheppard and Amen Thompson.
The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, and PJ Washington. Dante Exum and Caleb Martin are questionable.
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction
There’s only so much a team can overcome and the Mavs have reached the breaking point. The Mavericks aren’t fielding an NBA roster with all of their injuries and its resulted in a 2-8 SU and ATS record over their last 10 games. Regardless of what the line is, it’s hard to make a case for the Mavs in their current situation. The Rockets are having a strong week with four straight wins and covers, and they’ve played their best ball at home. Thick line for a young Rockets team that could play with its food at times, but backing the Mavs isn’t much of an option right now. Give me the Rockets in a home beatdown.