Rockets vs Spurs Prediction 1/20/26 NBA Picks Today
San Antonio Spurs (30-13) vs. Houston Rockets (25-15)
January 20, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -4.5; Over/Under: 220.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Spurs Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Jazz and Timberwolves, and they play the Jazz next. The Spurs have won 3 straight games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 118.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.3 points and 11.1 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 20.7 points and 5.8 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Timberwolves and Pelicans, and they play the 76ers next. The Rockets have won 3 of their last 4 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 117.3 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.1 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.7 points and 8.9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last 10 home games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have lost 30 of their last 33 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between the Spurs and Rockets.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last four games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last nine games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Spurs’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Alperen Sengun ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for points in the paint per game (14.0) this season.
- Amen Thompson ranks 4th in the league for points in the paint (506) this season.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.6) this season.
- Keldon Johnson ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for FG% (56.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (49.2).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (38.4).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.3).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.5).
Rockets vs Spurs Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams. Tari Eason is questionable.
The Spurs will be without Devin Vassell.
Rockets vs Spurs Prediction
The Rockets have the rest advantage, have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Spurs, and they’re 14-3 SU at home. The Rockets should be favored. However, the value is with the Spurs and the points. The Spurs are 23-20-1 ATS on the season while the Rockets are 19-21 ATS. Since November 26, the Spurs are 8-4 ATS as an underdog and seven of those covers were outright victories. The Spurs beat the Rockets back in November as a 5.5-point underdog. Rest advantage aside, the Spurs have been the better team this season. Assuming nobody sits after playing last night, I’m grabbing the points with San Antonio.

