Rockets vs Thunder Prediction 1/15/26 NBA Picks Today
Oklahoma City Thunder (34-7) vs. Houston Rockets (23-14)
January 15, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets +4.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Thunder Prediction Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Heat and Spurs, and then play the Heat next. The Thunder have won 38 of their last 45 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.4 points on 8.9 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.1 points and 8.3 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets lost to the Kings, beat the Bulls, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Rockets have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 117.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.1 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.7 points and 9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last 10 home games following a home win.
- The Thunder have lost eight of their last nine night games at Toyota Center.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Toyota Center.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won 18 of their last 19 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Thunder’s last seven games as favorites against the Rockets have gone OVER the total points line.
Rockets vs Thunder Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Tari Eason.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Luguentz Dort is questionable.
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder should be favored for obvious reasons, and the fact they’re a smallish favorite makes them tough to turn down. The Rockets have also been hit or miss over the last few weeks. The Rockets have some showing and proving to do. However, this feels like a spot where the Rockets should show up. A measuring stick game. OKC is coming off a win over the Spurs, finally beating them, which creates a letdown spot.
The Rockets are 12-2 SU at home this season, and they haven’t been a home dog since April of last year. I expect the Rockets to have a pep in their step for this one, as they have to convince themselves they can contend. This is a step. Give me the points.


