Dallas Mavericks (13-23) vs. Sacramento Kings (8-28)
January 6, 2026 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +5.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Sacramento Kings play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Golden 1 Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Kings vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been doing it tough lately as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they snapped a four-game losing streak with a 110-104 upset win over the Rockets on Saturday. Anthony Davis led the team with 26 points, 12 rebounds and five blocks on nine of 15 shooting, Max Christie added 24 points on 10 of 13 shooting while Brandon Williams chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 55 percent from the field and eight of 21 from the 3-point line. However, this win was more about their defense as they restricted the Rockets to just 19 points in the second quarter to take the lead into halftime. They were good enough to push the margin out to 17 points, which was more than enough to hold off a late rally from the Rockets.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in terrible form as they’ve lost 11 of their last 13 games overall. They will be hoping to put an end to a five-game losing streak after getting trampled by the Bucks in a 115-98 loss on Sunday. Russell Westbrook led the team with 21 points, six rebounds, three assists and three blocks, Zach LaVine added 20 points with four assists off the bench while Keegan Murray chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Kings shot just 43 percent from the field and a miserly five of 25 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Bucks early on. They could never really recover after getting outscored by 34-18 in the second quarter. The Kings trailed by as many as 26 points in this one and they needed a lot more from DeMar DeRozan who finished with just 11 points on four of 11 shooting.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The home team has won 13 of the Mavericks’ last 14 games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in 13 of the Mavericks’ last 14 games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Kings have lost each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The favorites have won each of the Kings’ last five games.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Kings’ last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last four games as favorites against the Kings have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Kings’ last six games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Russell Westbrook is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (6.6) and assists (6.9) per game this season.
- DeMar DeRozan is one of only 15 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.4) this season.
- Max Christie ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-12.0).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.8%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (33.5%).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (33.3%).
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Kyrie Irving, Dante Exum, Dereck Lively II and PJ Washington, while the Kings have ruled out Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray. The Mavericks were really struggling for form before their surprising upset win over the red-hot Rockets in their last game, but I think they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from that win. I like their chances against this ice-cold Kings squad, who looked terrible against the Bucks on Sunday. You couldn’t back either side with too much confidence at the moment, but the Mavericks have a clear edge in this matchup, and I think they take care of business in this one.
