NBA Picks
Kings vs Warriors Prediction 4/10/26 NBA Picks Today
Golden State Warriors (37-43) vs. Sacramento Kings (21-59)
April 10, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +11.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors invade the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Here’s a Kings vs. Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs. Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve dropped five of their last six games overall and they will be eager to bounce back here after getting routed by the Lakers in a 119-103 home defeat last night. Nate Williams and Brandin Podziemski led the team with 17 points each while Pat Spencer and Charles Bassey each scored 12 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 51 percent from the field and nine of 30 from the 3-point line as they traded shots with the Lakers in a tightly contested first half, but they never really got into a groove on offense and just couldn’t hang in the second half, where they allowed 66 points to lose big in the end. Draymond Green scored just two points with four turnovers, while De’Anthony Melton scored just two points on one of five shots.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in a real funk as they’ve lost eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be hoping for a better result after coming up just short to the Warriors in a 110-105 road defeat on Tuesday. Killian Hayes led the team with 18 points off the bench; Maxime Raynaud added 17 points, while Doug McDermott chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Kings shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 31 from the 3-point line as they clawed their way back from an early 16-point deficit to take the lead before they went ice-cold and scored just eight points in the final 6:35 to fall just short in the end.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Warriors have lost six of their last nine games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last four games.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Kings have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
- The Warriors have won each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 games as home underdogs following a road loss.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Kings’ last six games as home underdogs following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last seven Friday games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (34.0%).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (38.0%).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.3).
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for steals per game this season (9.8).
Kings vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still keeping an eye on Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard and LJ Cryer, who are all questionable, while the Kings are missing a bunch of players including Russell Westbrook, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan and Isaiah Stevens, who are all out. These teams have met three times this season, with the Warriors leading the series by 2-1, but the last meeting between these teams was just a couple days ago and it was the Warriors who won by 110-105. The Warriors should be good enough to get the win and cover, especially if Curry is able to suit up, but this line still seems too hefty for a team playing their second game of a back-to-back set. The Kings were competitive in their last meeting and I think they can keep the final margin to single digits once again.

