Kings vs Rockets Prediction 1/11/26 NBA Picks Today
Houston Rockets (22-13) vs. Sacramento Kings (8-30)
January 11, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +12.5; Over/Under: 222.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets invade the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday night. Here’s a Kings vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have cooled off a bit lately, as they’ve dropped three of their last four games overall. They will be looking to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Trail Blazers in a 111-105 loss on Friday. Kevin Durant led the team with 30 points, 12 rebounds and four assists, Amen Thompson added 24 points with nine rebounds and three assists while Reed Sheppard provided the spark off the bench with 20 points. As a team, the Rockets shot 42 percent from the field and 10 of 44 from the 3-point line as they poured in 34 points in the third quarter to take a 13-point lead. Only to see their hard work go to waste in the fourth quarter, where they got outscored by 34-15 to lose to the Trail Blazers for the second time in three nights.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 13 of their last 15 games overall. They will be hoping to snap a seven-game losing streak after getting scorched by the Warriors in a 137-103 road defeat on Friday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 24 points on 10 of 19 shooting, Zach LaVine and Dennis Schroder each scored 15 points while Russell Westbrook chipped in with 13 points and seven assists. As a team, the Kings shot 50 percent from the field and seven of 27 from the 3-point line as they got off to a great start and kept pace with the Warriors in a tightly contested first half. Only to get completely blown out by 74-44 in the second half to suffer another blowout defeat.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Rockets have lost each of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Kings have won each of their last seven night games against the Rockets at Golden 1 Center.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last four games.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Kings have lost each of their last eight night games.
- The Rockets have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs following a road loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Kings’ last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Kings’ last eight games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Rockets’ last six night games at Golden 1 Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Keon Ellis ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.
- Russell Westbrook is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (6.5) and assists (6.8) per game this season.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Kevin Durant has scored 30+ points in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Amen Thompson ranks 6th in the league for points in the paint (440) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-12.3).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.6%).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (49.3).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (37.8).
Kings vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets are still missing Tari Eason, Fred VanVleet and Alperen Sengun, while the Kings have again ruled out Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray. The Rockets will again be without Sengun which leaves them a little vulnerable, but the Rockets are still firm favorites against this ice-cold Kings squad dealing with injuries of their own. The Rockets will be disappointed that they lost two in a row to the Trail Blazers, but now they took on a struggling team in the Kings. I expect the Rockets to bounce back with a comfortable road win in this one.
