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Kings vs Thunder Prediction 11/7/25 NBA Picks Today

Oklahoma City Thunder (8-1) vs. Sacramento Kings (3-5)
November 7, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +10.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Golden 1 Center on Friday night. Here’s a Kings vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder kicked off their season with eight wins in a row, but they are now looking to bounce back after falling just short to the Trail Blazers in a 121-119 road defeat on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 35 points, nine rebounds and four assists, Aaron Wiggins added 27 points on 10 of 19 shooting while Ajay Mitchell chipped in with 21 points on seven of 11 shooting.
As a team, the Thunder shot just 41 percent from the field and 15 of 38 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 41 points in the first quarter to take a 22-point lead. However, with the scores tied in the fourth quarter, it was the Trail Blazers who went on a crucial 9-0 run to slip away in a tight finish.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings are slowly turning things around as they have now won two of their past three games after sneaking past the Warriors in a 121-116 home win on Wednesday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 25 points, Russell Westbrook tallied a triple-double of 23 points with 16 rebounds and 10 assists, Malik Monk provided the spark off the bench with 21 points while Dennis Schroder chipped in with 18 points and seven assists.
As a team, the Kings shot 49 percent from the field and 11 of 23 from the 3-point line as they withstood a quick start from the Warriors. They did well to hang within striking distance until they caught fire with 35 points in the third quarter to pull ahead and escape with the narrow win against a depleted Warriors team.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The Thunder have lost four of their five previous night games at Golden 1 Center following a road loss.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in four of their last five games.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 28 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have lost each of their last six games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Golden 1 Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Kings’ last five games at Golden 1 Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Thunder’s last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Kings vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams and Nikola Topic with Luguentz Dort listed as questionable, while the Kings have ruled out Keegan Murray with Domantas Sabonis listed as questionable. The Thunder have been the benchmark of the league so far this season and they are going to be tough to beat after they blew a 22-point lead in their last outing.
However, the Kings would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their upset win over the Warriors in their last game. The Kings’ Westbrook might have a big game against his former club, but I don’t think it will be enough to stop the Thunder who will surely bounce back in this one.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Oklahoma City -10.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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