NBA Picks

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Player Prop Picks 11-13-24 Picks

Phoenix Suns (8-2) vs. Sacramento Kings (6-5)
November 13, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings -6.5; Over/Under: +228
(Get latest betting odds)

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Player Prop Picks 11-13-24

The matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday, promises to be an exciting one. The Suns have been strong this season, with stars like Kevin Durant and Devin Booker leading the charge. It looks like the Suns will be without Kevin Durrant again in this one.

Sacramento, on the other hand, has had its ups and downs but remains a formidable team thanks to the depth and versatility of players like De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. The Kings’ defense will be tested, as they’ll need to manage Phoenix’s stars without committing too many fouls, a challenge that has hurt them in previous games. This game could go either way. We see the Kings favored by 6 points. Sacramento’s depth and Fox’s clutch play might give them the edge in a tightly contested match.


Bradley Beal Over 2.5 Three Pointers

Bradley Beal is averaging 2.4 three-pointers made per game on 6.6 attempts, with a 35.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc this season for the Suns. He has had solid performances, including hitting 60% of his three-pointers in multiple games. Beal’s efficiency from deep remains a key part of his scoring ability.

We’ve seen him get 3+ threes at a 50% rate in his last 10 games. With Kevin Durrant not in the lineup other guys on this Suns roster will need to step up. In an offense where Bradley Beal is usually the 3rd option, he’ll now be a 2nd option. This will also be a good matchup for him going against the Kings. The Kings are allowing 15.2 three-pointers per game to opposing teams which is the 4th highest in the league. I expect a big game from beyond the arc for Bradley Beal. 

Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds

Domantas Sabonis is having an outstanding start to this season, particularly in the rebounding department. He is currently averaging 12.8 rebounds per game. This is a key component of his game, as he contributes significantly in both offensive and defensive rebounding. Sabonis is also posting solid averages across other categories, including 20.7 points and 6.6 assists per game, showcasing his all-around impact on the court.

We’ve seen him get less than 13 rebounds in four straight games but oddsmakers are staying consistent with setting his line at 12.5. I think this is very telling and this is a good spot to jump back on the over in this matchup. It looks like the Suns center Jusuf Nurkic is questionable for this game. If he doesn’t play Sabonis will have a much easier time securing rebounds. Even if Nurkic does play he probably won’t be 100%. I love this spot for Sabonis to clean up on the glass. 

Tyus Jones Under 6.5 Assists

Tyus Jones is averaging 6.3 assists per game in the 2024-25 season. He has been playing an essential role as a playmaker for the Phoenix Suns, contributing significantly to the team’s offense. 

We’ve seen Tyus Jones get under 7 assists in 6 of his last 9 games and I’m going to bet that he doesn’t get over that number again in this one. Even though Tyus Jones is the Suns starting point guard we see Devin Booker be the one taking the ball up the court a lot of the time. Also with Kevin Durrant out that’s one less shooter Tyus Jones can look to assist. Also, the Kings have played pretty good defense against point guards this season. They’re allowing 50.8 assists per game to opposing teams which is below the league average. This is a good spot to fade Tyus Jone’s assist line. 


Brad

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