Detroit Pistons (45-15) vs. San Antonio Spurs (44-17)
March 5, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -3.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Pistons and the San Antonio Spurs collide at the Frost Bank Arena on Thursday night. Here’s a Spurs vs. Pistons prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs. Pistons pick.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons have been on fire as they’ve won 17 of their last 22 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Cavaliers in a 113-109 road defeat on Tuesday. Jalen Duren led the team with 24 points and 14 rebounds; Tobias Harris added 19 points while Ausar Thompson chipped in with 16 points and six assists. As a team, the Pistons shot 51 percent from the field and nine of 24 from the 3-point line as they struggled to make their shots early on and scored just 21 points in the second quarter to fall behind early, but this was still a close contest until the fourth quarter, where the Pistons fell behind by 11 points. Cade Cunningham had a night to forget as he shot just four of 16 from the field for his 10 points and had five turnovers.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been on a tear as they’ve won 12 of their last 13 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the 76ers in a 131-91 road win on Tuesday. Devin Vassell led the team with 22 points; Dylan Harper added 22 points on eight of 11 shooting, while Stephon Castle tallied 15 points with 10 assists. As a team, the Spurs shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and 18 of 45 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 46 points in the second quarter to take a 25-point lead into halftime and they didn’t stop there as the Spurs dominated the third quarter by 35-11 to lead by as many as 49 points in this one.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last 13 night games.
- The Pistons have lost each of their last nine games at Frost Bank Center.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last 13 Thursday games.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Frost Bank Center.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pistons have won each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Spurs have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Pistons teams that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Nine of the Spurs’ last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Pistons’ last nine games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.9) this season.
- Stephon Castle is one of only five players to have recorded a 40+ point triple-double this season.
Detroit Pistons Player Facts
- Cade Cunningham has recorded 54 games with 4+ assists this season—most of any player in the league.
- Jalen Duren has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (570) of any player in the league this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.4).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (68.9%).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.5).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.6).
Spurs vs Pistons Prediction
The Pistons don’t have any players listed on the injury report, while the Spurs have ruled out Harrison Barnes, Mason Plumlee, and David Jones Garcia. These teams last met on Feb 23 and it was the Spurs who romped to a 114-103 road win so it’s going to be tough for the Pistons to get their revenge, especially now that the Spurs are on a five-game home win streak. The line was always going to be short for this matchup, but the Pistons are stumbling at the moment and I think the Spurs are playing well enough to take advantage in this spot.
