NY Knicks (53-29) vs. San Antonio Spurs (62-20)
June 3, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -4.5; Over/Under: 218.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Knicks and the San Antonio Spurs duke it out in Game 1 of the NBA Finals at the Frost Bank Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Spurs vs Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Knicks Pick.
New York Knicks Betting Preview
The New York Knicks battled past the Hawks in six games in the First Round, but they followed that by sweeping the 76ers and the Cavaliers to book their tickets to the NBA Finals. Jalen Brunson has been rock solid for the Knicks during these playoffs with averages of 26.9 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists per game; OG Anunoby is averaging 19.7 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 1.6 steals per game; Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 16.9 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game, while Josh Hart is averaging 11.4 points with 8.6 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game.
As a team, the Knicks are scoring 119.9 points per game while shooting 51.5 percent from the field and 40.0 percent from the 3-point line. The Knicks don’t have home-court advantage, but they should be well rested for this one as they haven’t played since last Monday, which gives them plenty of extra preparation time.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs took five games to blow past the Trail Blazers in the First Round, but they needed six games against the Timberwolves before they rallied past the Thunder in a thrilling Game 7 win on Saturday. Victor Wembenyama has been averaging 23.2 points, 10.8 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 3.5 blocks per game. Stephon Castle is averaging 19.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 16.4 points and 5.9 assists per game.
As a team, the Spurs are scoring 115.3 points per game while shooting 46.9 percent from the field and 36.5 percent from the 3-point line. Julian Champagnie has really stepped up his game during these playoffs with a few big games, while Devin Vassell looks to be in career-best form.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last 15 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Knicks have lost each of their last seven road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won each of their last 11 games.
- The Spurs have lost four of their last five playoff games as home favorites following a win.
- The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last eight games following a road win.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites after winning as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Spurs’ last 10 games as home favorites against the Knicks have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Knicks’ last five road games against the Spurs following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.
- Thirteen of the last 15 NBA Finals games have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.1) this season.
- Luke Kornet has recorded 39 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
New York Knicks Player Facts
- Karl-Anthony Towns ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (11.9) this season.
- Josh Hart is one of only three players to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.9).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.2).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.0).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (25.3).
Spurs vs Knicks Prediction
These teams met just twice in the regular season, with each team winning its game at home. I mentioned the Knicks’ extra rest time above, but what I didn’t talk about was how dominant they’ve been over their last 11 games as they’ve been running through teams, and they are just looking like a well-oiled machine. On the other hand, the Spurs haven’t always looked smooth on offense, but their role players are stepping up, and they still have Wembenyama with home-court advantage.
The Knicks have really stepped up on the offensive end during these playoffs, and they might be able to pull Wembenyama away from the paint if Karl-Anthony Towns can get hot from behind the arc, so at this stage, I am predicting the Spurs to win in seven games, but for the Knicks to kick things off with a win on the road.
