San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz Player Props Picks 11-9-24 Picks

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz Player Props Picks 11-9-24

The Utah Jazz and San Antonio Spurs matchup in the 2024-25 NBA season showcases two teams in rebuilding phases with promising young talent. The Spurs are led by second-year sensation Victor Wembanyama who brings size, defensive potential, and creativity on offense, especially in the paint where Wembanyama thrives. The Jazz, meanwhile, rely on Lauri Markkanen’s scoring and Walker Kessler’s defense to anchor their lineup.

The Spurs home-court advantage could be a factor, though both teams are still working on consistency. The game will likely feature a battle of defensive adjustments and offensive versatility.

Chris Paul Over 1.5 Three Pointers -120

Chris Paul has demonstrated solid three-point shooting. Through nine games with the San Antonio Spurs, Paul is averaging 2.2 made three-pointers per game on 5.3 attempts, achieving a 41.7% three-point shooting accuracy. This efficiency from beyond the arc contributes to his overall scoring output, where he’s also managing 11.1 points per game, with additional contributions in assists and rebounds. His consistency from the three-point line has been valuable for the Spurs’ offensive flow this season.

I’ve been cashing in on taking the over on Chris Paul’s threes. Through nine games he’s only got less than two threes in three of those games. He’s had five games where he’s made 3+ three-pointers. This Jazz team has struggled to guard the perimeter allowing 14.1 threes per game which is 7th most in the league. 

Lauri Makkanen Under 7.5 Reb -110

Lauri Markkanen has averaged 7.3 rebounds per game over four games with the Utah Jazz. This includes a defensive rebounding average of 5.3 and an offensive rebounding average of 2.0 per game. His rebounding efficiency has been solid, helping the Jazz maintain possession and defensive stability.

This is a tough matchup for Lauri on the boards against this Spurs team. The Spurs are allowing 47.8 rebounds per game which is the 2nd fewest in the whole league. With Wembanyama in the paint, it’s tough for any opposing teams to get rebounds. Also, Kessler has been the Jazz’s main rebounder averaging 11.4 rebounds per game. I look at Lauri as more of a scorer in this matchup rather than a rebounder. 

Chris Paul Over 8.5 AST -110

Chris Paul is averaging 8.0 assists per game across nine games with the San Antonio Spurs. His playmaking has been consistent, showing his ability to facilitate the offense effectively while contributing in other areas. Paul’s experience as a point guard continues to be crucial for the Spurs, as he also adds leadership on the court. His assists, combined with strong three-point shooting, make him a key part of the team’s play style this season.

It’s rare I’ll bet on two different props for a single player but this is a great matchup for Chris Paul. Utah is allowing 28.8 assists per game which is the 4th highest in the league. This Jazz defense is not good to simply put it. Expect Paul to score himself but also feed his teammates for points as well.

Collin Sexton Under 4.5 AST -110

Collin Sexton is averaging 3.3 assists per game across eight games for the Utah Jazz. Although primarily known as a scoring guard, he has contributed as a secondary playmaker, assisting teammates while maintaining his role as a consistent scorer with an average of 15.0 points per game. This balance of scoring and facilitating has been key for the Jazz’s backcourt production.

We’ve seen him have back-to-back games going over this line of 4.5 but I think we see Sexton come down to earth. This Spurs team is giving up 23.2 assists per game which is the 3rd fewest in the league. This is a good sell-high spot on Sexton’s assists after two big games.