Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction 2/7/26 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (19-32) vs. San Antonio Spurs (35-16)
February 7, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -10.5; Over/Under: 230.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs meet Saturday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Celtics and Spurs, and they play the Suns next. The Mavs have lost 6 straight games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.8 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.2 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 14.5 points and 5 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 3.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Mavs and Thunder, and they play the Lakers next. The Spurs have won 8 of their last 11 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 116.9 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.1 points and 11 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.8 points and 6.2 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.3 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight road games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against the Mavericks following a win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last four night games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Spurs have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
- The Mavericks have won eight of their last nine road games against the Spurs.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against the Spurs following a loss.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Spurs’ last five games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.7) this season.
- Stephon Castle has recorded 3+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Cooper Flagg has scored 30+ points in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (68.6%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.5).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (33.7%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
Spurs vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Khris Middleton is doubtful.
David Jones Garcia and Lindy Waters III are out for the Spurs. Jeremy Sochan, Luke Kornet, and De’Aaron Fox are questionable.
Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction
The Spurs can smoke this game, but they’re also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a double-digit favorite. Since Christmas, the Spurs have outright lost as a double-digit favorite. Since February 2018, the Spurs are 10-20 ATS as a double-digit favorite. These teams just played each other, so I’d expect a more competitive effort. Moreover, the Mavs are getting reinforcements from their trades. This will be as complete of a Mavs roster as we’ve seen possibly all year. Give me the points.