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Spurs vs Rockets Prediction 3/8/26 NBA Picks Today

Houston Rockets (39-23) vs. San Antonio Spurs (46-17)
March 8, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -5.5; Over/Under: 222.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets clash Sunday in an NBA contest at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Spurs vs. Rockets prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs. Rockets pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Trail Blazers and lost to the Warriors, and they play the Raptors next. The Rockets have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Clippers and Pistons, and they play the Celtics next. The Spurs have won 19 of their last 23 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 118.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.2 points and 11.3 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 6.3 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won each of their last 15 night games.
  • The Rockets have lost each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at Frost Bank Center following a win.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 11 Sunday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have won three of their last four games on the road as underdogs.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games following a home win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Rockets’ last six games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Spurs’ last 10 games against the Rockets following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

  • Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.0) this season.
  • Stephon Castle has recorded 8+ assists in three consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Alperen Sengun ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (762) this season.
  • Amen Thompson ranks 3rd in the league for points in the paint (728) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.5).
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (68.3%).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.4).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.3).

Spurs vs Rockets Injury Report

David Jones Garcia, Harrison Barnes, and Mason Plumlee are out for the Spurs.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction

The Rockets continue to be hit or miss and I’m not sure I trust them against good teams. I certainly don’t trust the Rockets on the road, where they’ve lost 15 times. The Spurs keep winning and covering numbers, and a comeback win over the Clippers probably only adds to the confidence of this group. Wemby was emotional after that win, showing just how seriously this group takes every game. In a league full of tanking, it’s nice to see. I’m not stepping in front of the Spurs for a hot and cold team such as the Rockets. Give me the Spurs and the reasonable number.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs -5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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