Oklahoma City Thunder (48-11) vs. San Antonio Spurs (24-33)
March 2, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs +13.5; Over/Under: 237.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs collide at the Frost Bank Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Spurs vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in red-hot form as they’ve won 11 of their last 13 games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Hawks in a 135-119 road win on Friday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 31 points and five assists, Jalen Williams and Luguentz Dort each scored 20 points while Isaiah Hartenstein chipped in with 13 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Thunder shot 50 percent from the field and 23 of 50 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 40 points in the first quarter to storm out to an early double-digit lead. Before they went on another run in the third quarter to push the margin out to 27 points.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last 10 games overall. But the Spurs will be feeling much better after arresting a four-game slide with a 130-128 road win over the depleted Grizzlies last night. Stephen Castle led the team with 24 points and seven assists off the bench, De’Aaron Fox and Devin Vassell scored 20 points each while Jeremy Sochan chipped in with 18 points, 11 rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 52 percent from the field and 14 of 36 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 46 points in the second quarter to build a 22-point lead. Before they hung on for the narrow win thanks to a clutch shot from Fox with just 2.1 seconds left on the clock.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The home team has won each of the last four games between the Thunder and Spurs.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Spurs.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in six of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 18 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after winning as underdogs.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last nine games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Spurs’ last eight home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Spurs vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still playing without Chet Holmgren, and they are keeping an eye on Ousmane Dieng who is questionable, while the Spurs will again be without Victor Wembenyama and Charles Bassey. The Spurs were able to take advantage of a severely shorthanded Grizzlies team last night, but they blew a 22-point lead and are now having to play on zero days rest. The Thunder have been the hottest team in the Western Conference, they made light work of the Hawks, and I just don’t see them slowing down in this matchup.
