Spurs vs Thunder Prediction 5/22/26 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs meet Friday in NBA Game 3 at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs. Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder look for their fifth road playoff win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Thunder have won 16 of their last 19 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.7 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 107.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.7 points and 7.8 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.8 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 84.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs look for a fifth home playoff win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Spurs have won 44 of their last 56 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 104.9 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 22.1 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 20.1 points and 6.6 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Dylan Harper is dishing 2.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.4 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Thunder have lost eight of their last nine road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 16 games following a home win.
• The Spurs have lost eight of their last nine Western Conference Finals games following a loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Western Conference Finals games following a loss.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in four of their last five playoff games against the Spurs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last seven games has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last six road games has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Western Conference Finals games have gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.1) this season.
• Stephon Castle has scored 183 career points against the Thunder—most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the only player in the league to have recorded 15+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Cason Wallace ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.9).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.2).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.1).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.7%).

Spurs vs Thunder Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober due to an ACL injury. Jalen Williams is questionable with hamstring soreness.

De’Aaron Fox is questionable for the Spurs with foot soreness. Dylan Harper is questionable with adductor soreness.

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction

I’m riding with the Spurs yet again. The Spurs have been in both games in this series and are the only team that doesn’t fear OKC. The Spurs have won 6 of the last 9 games against the Thunder. The Spurs now go back home where they’re 36-10 SU, and they’re 54-40-2 ATS overall. I’d love to see at least Fox cleared for this game, as it would lighten the ball-handling duties of Castle and limit the turnovers, but I still have the Spurs as the best team in the league and winning the title. In order to do that, the Spurs have to protect home court. The line is soft. Give me the Spurs.