Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction 5/4/26 NBA Picks Today

The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs meet Monday in NBA Game 1 at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs. Timberwolves Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Nuggets in 6 games and are in the second round for a third straight season. The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 21.8 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 19.2 points and 4.2 assists. Anthony Edwards is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.2 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Trail Blazers in 5 games and are in the second round for the first time since the 2016-17 season. The Spurs have won 39 of their last 48 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112.4 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 100 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 21 points and 8.8 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 20.2 points and 6.8 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 41.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 30.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won 20 of their last 21 games against the Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center following a win.
• The Timberwolves have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the spread in 11 of the Timberwolves’ last 12 playoff games.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Spurs have lost three of their last four Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Western Conference Semifinals home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last four Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Timberwolves’ last six Monday games as underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.1) this season.
• Luke Kornet has recorded 40 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season—most of any player in the league.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (68.2%) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.9).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.2).
• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.1).
• The Timberwolves have used only 14 different starting fives this season—the fewest in the league.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Injury Report

Carter Bryant is questionable for the Spurs with a foot sprain.

The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo. Anthony Edwards is questionable with a knee bruise. Ayo Dosunmu is questionable with calf soreness.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction

I’ve been high on the Spurs all season and they’ve been my pick for a while to win the title. I’m not surprised they’re getting this amount of love from oddsmakers. However, this is a lot of points to throw at a feisty Timberwolves team that has dogs and competes on the defensive side. We just saw the Timberwolves bother the hell out of the Nuggets and make Jokic look regular.

The Timberwolves have also won 5 of the last 6 games against the Spurs. Seeing Ant Man questionable and not out is somewhat encouraging. I’d like to see Dosunmu at least get cleared. Still, this feels like a thick number and a little too much respect toward the Spurs side. Give me the points.