Oklahoma City Thunder (65-14) vs. Phoenix Suns (35-43)
April 9, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns +11.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in great shape as they’ve won 19 of their last 22 games overall, and they will be looking to stay hot after making light work of the Lakers in a 136-120 home win last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 42 points and six assists, Jalen Williams added 26 points, while Luguentz Dort chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Thunder shot 50 percent from the field and 18 of 37 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running with 80 points in the first half. However, they never really had control of the contest until the fourth quarter, where they outscored the Lakers by 39-22 to make it look easy in the end.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in terrible form as they will be hoping to arrest a seven-game losing streak after getting trampled by the Warriors in a 133-95 home defeat last night. Devin Booker led the team with 21 points, while Ryan Dunn and Grayson Allen each scored 12 points, but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Suns shot just 39 percent from the field and 12 of 43 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Warriors from the start. They never looked like they had a chance after getting outscored 69-43 in the first half. Collin Gillespie had a quiet game of just six points on two of nine shooting, while Bradley Beal shot just three of eight for his seven points.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last 10 home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have lost each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Suns.
- The Suns has covered the spread in each of their last five games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 24 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Suns have lost each of their last 11 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Suns.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Suns’ last nine games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Suns vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, and Ousmane Dieng, while the Suns are still playing without the injured Kevin Durant. The Suns were always going to be heavy underdogs in this matchup, but I thought the line would be higher, especially given that the Thunder have already smashed the Suns twice this season. The Suns are flat-out terrible at the moment, and they can’t stay competitive even if Booker has a big game. So, I will back the Thunder to win comfortably on the road, assuming that they don’t decide to rest everyone.
