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Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction 3/27/25 NBA Picks Today

Memphis Grizzlies (44-28) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (60-12)
March 27, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5; Over/Under: 239.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Grizzlies pay a visit to the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Grizzlies Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling better after they put a halt to a three-game skid with a 140-103 road win on Tuesday. Desmond Bane led the team with 21 points and six assists, Jaren Jackson Jr added 19 points on eight of 12 shooting, while Scotty Pippen Jr chipped in with 16 points and 10 assists on seven of eight shooting. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 53 percent from the field and 20 of 45 from the 3-point line as they caught fire with 35 points in the second quarter to erase an early 14-point deficit. They dominated the Jazz in the second half by 76-38 to make it a complete blowout in the end.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on fire as they’ve won 14 of their last 15 games overall. They will be eager to build on their current seven-game win streak after blowing past the Kings in a 121-105 road win on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 32 points, eight rebounds, and five assists; Chet Holmgren added 18 points with 10 rebounds and two assists while Alex Caruso chipped in with 15 points and six assists off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot 52 percent from the field and 19 of 32 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running and poured in 64 points in the first half to take an early 25-point lead. However, they had to rally in the fourth quarter after the Kings cut the lead to just six points late in the third quarter.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last eight games against the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last 10 home games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games following a win.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The road team has won six of the Thunder’s last eight games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in six of the Thunder’s last eight games.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Grizzlies’ last 11 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Thunder’s last eight games at Paycom Center following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Grizzlies are still missing Ja Morant, Marvin Bagley, and Brandon Clarke, while the Thunder have ruled out Aaron Wiggins, and they have Jalen Williams listed as questionable. These teams have already met three times, with the Thunder winning on each occasion by double digits. The Grizzlies have been struggling lately, with the injuries starting to pile up again, while the Thunder have continued to pile on the wins to rise to the top of the league standings. The line is hefty, but still not enough to sway me from backing the Thunder to get the win and cover at home against a depleted Grizzlies squad.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Oklahoma City -10.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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