Indiana Pacers (43-30) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (61-12)
March 29, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5; Over/Under: 239
(Get latest betting odds)
The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Pacers Pick.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers have been in great form as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall, and they will be looking to stay hot after blowing past the Wizards in a dominant 162-109 road win on Thursday. Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 29 points and six assists on nine of 15 shooting, Myles Turner added 17 points, while Jarace Walker chipped in with 16 points and five assists off the bench.
As a team, the Pacers shot a sizzling 64 percent from the field and 27 of 47 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running with 45 points in the first quarter to take an early double-digit lead. They just kept their foot on the gas right to the end to finish with a season-high 162 points.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear, as they’ve won 15 of their last 16 games overall. They will be eager to build on their current eight-game win streak after running past the Grizzlies in a 125-104 home win on Thursday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 37 points and six assists on 15 of 25 shooting, Jalen Williams added 20 points, while Isaiah Hartenstein chipped in with 18 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists.
As a team, the Thunder shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 31 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Grizzlies in a tight contest. Until they flipped a switch and went on a decisive 17-0 run in the fourth quarter to pull away and make it look easy in the end.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 15 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Pacers have lost five of their last six road games following a win.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight games.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games following a win.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Pacers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.1).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.4).
- The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points (809) this season.
- The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points per game (11.1) this season.
Thunder vs Pacers Prediction
The Pacers are still missing Bennedict Mathurin and Isaiah Jackson, while the Thunder are keeping eyes on Jaylin Williams and Ousmane Dieng, who are both questionable for this one. The Pacers must be brimming with confidence after amassing 162 points in their last game, but they won’t be nearly as comfortable now that they are taking on one of the best defenses in the Thunder.
They have barely missed a step over the past month. The Thunder have opened as heavy favorites once again, which is not surprising anymore, but these teams have already met once this season back on Dec. 26, where the Thunder won by 120-114. The line is hefty, so while I like the Thunder to get the win at home, I think the Pacers can hang around and keep it to single digits in the end.
