Thunder vs Spurs Prediction 5/26/26 NBA Picks Today

The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Tuesday in NBA Game 5 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Spurs Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs look for a sixth road playoff win to take a 3-2 series lead. The Spurs have won 45 of their last 58 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 115.5 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 104.6 points on 41 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 23.1 points and 11.4 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 19.2 points and 6.6 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.6 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder have yet to lose back-to-back playoff games and hope to take a 3-2 series lead. The Thunder have won 17 of their last 21 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 117.7 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.7 points and 8.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.8 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 84.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last nine playoff games following a loss.
• The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight night games at Paycom Center.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight playoff games at Paycom Center following a loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games at Paycom Center following a home win.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last eight road games following a home win.
• The Thunder have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games following a road loss.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last seven Western Conference Finals games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Western Conference Finals Game 5s have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the only player in the league to have recorded 15+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Cason Wallace ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.1) this season.
• Luke Kornet has recorded 39 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.1).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.7%).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.9).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.2).

Thunder vs Spurs Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober due to an ACL injury. Ajay Mitchell is out with a soleus strain. Jalen Williams is questionable with a hamstring strain.

The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction

I was on the Spurs before the series started, and there’s no reason to turn back now. As I’ve said before, the Spurs are the one team that doesn’t fear the Thunder, and they’ve now won 6 of the last 9 meetings against them. The Spurs have had success on the road in these playoffs as well. It shouldn’t shock anybody if the Spurs go into OKC and leave with another victory. The Thunder are banged up and haven’t been able to figure things out when Wemby is on the floor. The Spurs are also 55-41-2 ATS on the season, while the Thunder are 46-47-1 ATS. I’m going to keep baking the Spurs in this series.