Minnesota Timberwolves (31-27) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (45-10)
February 24, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5; Over/Under: 226
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves once again at the Paycom Center on Monday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall. The Wolves will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the red-hot Thunder in a 130-123 home defeat last night. Anthony Edwards led the team with 29 points with 10 rebounds and seven assists, Naz Reid added 22 points with 11 rebounds and four blocks, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in with 18 points off the bench. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 43 percent from the field and 18 of 45 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 40 points in the second quarter to overcome an early 19-point deficit. It didn’t last long at all as they allowed the Thunder to pour in 42 points in the third quarter to slip away in a close finish. The Wolves will meet the Lakers and Jazz after this game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they’ve won nine of their last 10 games overall, and they will be eager to stay hot after sneaking past the Timberwolves last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 37 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists on 13 of 24 shooting, Chet Holmgren added 19 points, Jalen Williams added 18 points with nine assists while Aaron Wiggins chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot 55 percent from the field and 19 of 35 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 35 points in the first quarter to storm out to an early lead. OKC poured in another 42 points in the third quarter to set up the win and improve to 20-7 on the road this season. The Thunder will face the Nets following this one.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last 10 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have won 18 of their last 19 games at Paycom Center.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games at Paycom Center against teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Monday night games.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Thunder following a loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (104.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.1).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.5).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.9).
Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves are still shorthanded with Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, and Jaylen Clark all out, while the Thunder are still playing without Nikola Topic. The Timberwolves really made a good account for themselves last night, despite their lack of recent form. It is just too tough to try to hold off the waves of attack from the Thunder, especially without your two best big men. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row, but the Timberwolves are just too banged up at the moment to test this surging Thunder team, who have a full roster and the front-runner for MVP. The Thunder failed to cover last night, but I think we’re going to see a more one-sided affair in this one, with the Thunder winning comfortably at home.
