Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)
May 28, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5; Over/Under: 220.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in the NBA playoffs Game 5 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to force a game 6 on Friday. The Timberwolves are 4-3 on the road in these playoffs. The Timberwolves have lost more games in this series than they did in the first two rounds combined.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 110.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 105.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.8 points and 7.9 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 21.6 points and 5.1 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder will make the finals for the first time since the 2011-12 season. The Thunder have won five straight home games. The Thunder have lost four home games overall since January 26.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 107.1 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.5 points and 6.9 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.5 points and 5.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 games following a road win.
- The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight playoff road games following a loss.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last six games.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven playoff road games following a loss.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Thunder have lost eight of their nine previous Game 5s of a Western Conference Finals series.
- The Timberwolves have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against the Thunder following a loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games following a road win.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.7) this season.
- Cason Wallace ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (66.9%) this season.
- Anthony Edwards ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.
Thunder vs Timberwolves Injury Report
The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.
Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction
I believe the Timberwolves are better than what they’ve shown in this series and wouldn’t be shocked if they found a way to steal this game. The Timberwolves have been great on the road in the playoffs these last two seasons. Heck, the Timberwolves were a bucket away from winning game 4 and evening up the series.
With that said, the Timberwolves looked frustrated in that loss and Edwards was way too passive. If Edwards isn’t going to be aggressive and takeover games, the Timberwolves just don’t have much of a chance. Nickeil Alexander-Walker should not have more shot attempts than Edwards. The Thunder are 61-33-4 ATS on the season, making them the safest bet in sports. I’d love to see more of this series, but I have no choice but to lay the points with OKC.
