Golden State Warriors (6-5) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1)
November 11, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Nuggets, beat the Pacers, and they’ll play the Spurs next. The Warriors have split their last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 26.8 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 18.9 points and 4.6 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandin Podziemski is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Kings and Grizzlies, and then play the Lakers next. The Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.4 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.2 points and 6 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 19.1 points and 8.6 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Joe is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 86.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 14 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Warriors have lost seven of their last eight road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last 10 games.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Thunder following a win.
- The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight home games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last nine games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last six road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the last 11 games between the Warriors and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.
Thunder vs Warriors Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Nikola Topic, and Jalen Williams.
The Warriors will be without De’Anthony Melton. Al Horford is questionable with a toe issue.
Thunder vs Warriors Prediction
The Thunder are going to be favored nearly every game, especially at home, but this line is crazy. One, the Thunder aren’t covering numbers the way they have the last 2 years, as they’re just 6-5 ATS on the season. Also, the Warriors are healthy for the most part and still get up for big games like this. The Warriors beat OKC twice last season, cashing outright big underdog tickets.
I know the Warriors have had issues on the road this year, but this is a veteran group that picks its spots and gets excited for marquee matchups. OKC is also still banged up, which includes Dort being ruled out. Give me the points.
