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Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction 3/17/25 NBA Picks Today

Indiana Pacers (37-29) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (40-29)
March 17, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5; Over/Under: 230
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Monday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the 76ers, lost to the Bucks, and they play the Mavs, Nets, and Lakers next. The Pacers are a .500 team over their last 12 games.


The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.3 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.8 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.5 points and 3.5 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Magic and Jazz, and they play the Pelicans, Suns, and Pistons next. The Timberwolves have won eight straight games but are still currently in the play-in tournament.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.2 points and 6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.8 points and 4.6 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight games.
  • The Pacers have lost each of their last six road games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Pacers’ last 10 games.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Pacers.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (65.2%).
  • The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.8).
  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points (720) this season.
  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points per game (10.9) this season.

Timberwolves vs Pacers Injury Report

Mike Conley is questionable for the Timberwolves after not playing yesterday due to rest.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson and Pascal Siakam. Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Johnny Furphy, and Tyrese Haliburton are questionable.

Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction

I considered the Pacers and the points because they have the rest advantage and their tempo and scoring ability can give teams fits, especially on potentially tired legs. However, the Timberwolves are playing their best ball now that they’re healthy, and the Pacers have endless key players on the injury report.

If Siakam, Haliburton, Turner, and others don’t play, it’s impossible to make a case for the Pacers. This is a game where you have to check the injury report before betting, but at the time of this writing, I have to lean toward the Timberwolves and the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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