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Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction 1/11/26 NBA Picks Today

San Antonio Spurs (27-11) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (25-14)
January 11, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Spurs Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Lakers and Celtics, and they play the Thunder next. The Spurs have won 26 of their last 39 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 120 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24 points and 11.7 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 21.6 points and 6 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Heat, split with the Cavs, and they play the Bucks next. The Timberwolves have won 15 of their last 21 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.4 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.3 points and 5.7 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last 12 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 10 Sunday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won each of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Timberwolves have lost three of their last five games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Spurs’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Timberwolves’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (74.4%).
  • The Timberwolves have used only four different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.2).
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.6).

Timberwolves vs Spurs Injury Report

The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr., while Mike Conley is questionable.

The Spurs will be without Devin Vassell.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction

The Timberwolves are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they’re 14-6 SU. The Timberwolves have also won 8 of the last 10 games against the Spurs. However, the Timberwolves ply with their food a lot, and they lost to the Cavs last night. We also shouldn’t be looking to bet against the Spurs in the underdog role.

The Spurs are 21-17-1 ATS on the season, and they’ve outright won 10 of their last 15 games as an underdog. The Spurs are one of the best teams in the league and as long as they’re healthy for the most part, there’s going to be value in these spots. I’ll gladly grab the free bucket with the Spurs, as we did something similar yesterday when they played the Celtics.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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