
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks Today
Golden State Warriors (47-33) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (35-45)
April 11, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Portland Trail Blazers +13.5; Over/Under: 227
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Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting beaten by the Spurs in a 114-111 home defeat on Wednesday. Stephen Curry led the team with 30 points, eight rebounds, and three assists, Jimmy Butler added 28 points with seven assists, while Draymond Green chipped in with 13 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 41 percent from the field and 16 of 48 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 37 points in the third quarter to take a 14-point lead. However, that still wasn’t enough to hold off the Spurs, who poured in 38 points in the fourth quarter to snatch the game away in the end.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers have been in decent shape, as they’ve won three of their past five games overall. But they will be hoping for a better result after getting stopped by the lowly Jazz in a 133-126 overtime road defeat on Wednesday. Shaedon Sharpe led the team with 37 points, seven rebounds, and five assists; Rayan Rupert added 19 points off the bench, while Tounami Camara chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Trail Blazers shot 46 percent from the field and 11 of 45 from the 3-point line as they squandered a six-point lead late in the fourth quarter. Before they fell victim to a 14-4 run by the Jazz to lose a tough one on the road.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Trail Blazers have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have lost five of their last eight games as road favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Trail Blazers teams that held a losing record.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last eight games against the Trail Blazers.
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a home loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Trail Blazers rank 2nd in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (13.2).
- The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for opponent steals per game this season (9.5).
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.5).
- The Warriors are one of only three teams to win a game when trailing by 20+ points after Q1 this season.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still keeping an eye on Quinten Post and Gary Payton II, who are both questionable, while the Trail Blazers have ruled out Scoot Henderson, Deni Avdija, and Jerami Grant once again. The Trail Blazers have nothing left to play for this season, while the Warriors are still battling for positioning with two other Western Conference teams holding the same season record. The Warriors will be so disappointed with their last loss, but I have them bounce back with a vengeance in this one as they blow past this depleted Trail Blazers team who can’t wait for the season to end.