Warriors vs Bucks Prediction 3/18/25 NBA Picks Today

The Milwaukee Bucks travel to the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night.

Here’s a Warriors vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Bucks Pick.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in a bit of a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back here after having their two-game win streak halted by the red-hot Thunder in a 121-105 home defeat on Sunday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a triple-double of 21 points with 12 rebounds and 10 assists, Damian Lillard added 19 points on three of nine shooting while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 12 points off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot just 39 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the elite defense of the Thunder. They were always fighting an uphill battle after scoring just 15 points in the second quarter. In fact, the Bucks trailed in this one by as many as 25 points, before the bench finished with a flurry of points to narrow the margin at the end.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in great shape as they’ve won 12 of their last 14 games overall. But they will be looking to bounce back in this one after getting beaten by the Nuggets in a 114-105 home defeat last night. Jimmy Butler led the team with 23 points, eight rebounds, and six assists, Stephen Curry added 20 points with seven assists and three steals while Gary Payton chipped in with 18 points on eight of 10 shooting off the bench. As a team, the Warriors shot 48 percent from the field and eight of 33 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the Nuggets from the start. They were always fighting an uphill battle after falling behind by 62-50 going into halftime. Stephen Curry had an off night as he shot just six of 21 from the field while committing a total of seven turnovers. The Warriors will meet the Raptors and Hawks after this game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last eight home games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Bucks have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Bucks have won each of their last six games against the Warriors following a loss.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last four home games after losing as favorites.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against the Warriors following a loss.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for assists per game this season (29.2).
• The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.3).
• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
• The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).

The Bucks are expecting to have a full squad for this one, while the Warriors have ruled out Brandin Podziemski again, and they have Curry listed as questionable for this one. Be sure to check the lineups before tipoff as the availability of Curry obviously has an impact on the line for this matchup. The Warriors beat the Bucks by 125-111 back on Feb. 10. It’s no surprise to see them as favorites given their recent form, but I think the Bucks can pull off the minor upset here if the Warriors are missing some players.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Milwaukee +2.5

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