Denver Nuggets (43-25) vs. Golden State Warriors (39-28)
March 17, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -3.5; Over/Under: 239.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors duke it out at the Chase Center on Monday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their last seven games overall. They will be eager to bounce back here after coming up painfully short to the lowly Wizards in a heartbreaking 126-123 home defeat on Saturday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 40 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists on 16 of 30 shooting, Jamal Murray added 24 points with seven assists, Russell Westbrook tallied 22 points with 11 assists while Michael Porter Jr chipped in with 20 points and 11 rebounds. As a team, the Nuggets shot 50 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 44 points in the first quarter to take a 16-point lead, but they never put the Wizards away. It cost them as the Wizards rallied in the second half and snatched the game away thanks to a 35-foot game winner from Jordan Poole with just 2.1 seconds left on the clock.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been on fire lately as they’ve won 12 of their last 13 games overall and they will be aiming for an eighth straight victory after sneaking past the Knicks in a 97-94 home win on Saturday. Stephen Curry led the team with 28 points, seven rebounds and five assists, Moses Moody added 18 points while Jimmy Butler chipped in with 11 points and seven assists. As a team, the Warriors shot just 39 percent from the field and 13 of 41 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they wasted a nine-point lead in the fourth quarter. But they kept their composure and responded with an 8-1 run to escape with the narrow win at home.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
- The Nuggets have lost six of their last seven road games against the Warriors after losing as favorites.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last seven games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Nuggets and Warriors.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Warriors’ last nine home night games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Twelve of the Nuggets’ last 14 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still slightly shorthanded with Julian Strawther out again, while the Warriors have ruled out Brandon Podziemski again. The Nuggets will surely come out swinging after getting embarrassed by the lowly Wizards in their last outing, but they have only won three of their last six road games. This is why the red-hot Warriors have opened as favorites at home. It wouldn’t be shocking at all if the Nuggets pulled off the upset, as they already beat the Warriors by 119-115 back on Dec. 3. However, a lot has changed since the last meeting as the Warriors are now the hottest team in the Western Conference and I think they get the job done at the short line in this one.
