Houston Rockets (52-30) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-34)
May 2, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5; Over/Under: 203.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Here’s a Warriors vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Rockets Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors will be looking to bounce back and finish off the Rockets after getting trounced in a 131-116 road defeat in Game 5 on Wednesday. Moses Moody led the team with 25 points on nine of 18 shooting off the bench, Kevin Knox added 14 points while Stephen Curry chipped in with just 13 points and seven assists.
As a team, the Warriors shot just 41 percent from the field and 15 of 44 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the urgency of the Rockets from the start. They were never really in the contest after allowing 76 points in the first half. Jimmy Butler III shot just two of 10 for his eight points, Draymond Green scored just seven points, while Buddy Hield chipped in with just four points.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets will be hoping to force a series decider after dominating the Warriors in a 131-116 home win in Game 5 on Wednesday night. Fred VanVleet led the team in scoring with 26 points on eight of 13 shooting. Amen Thompson added 25 points with six rebounds, five steals, and three blocks. Dillon Brooks tallied 24 points while Alperen Sengun chipped in with 15 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists.
As a team, the Rockets shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and 13 of 30 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 40 points in the first quarter to take a 27-point lead into halftime. This was more than enough to hold off a late charge from the Warriors in garbage time. Jalen Green had another quiet game of just 11 points on three of eight shooting, and no bench players finished in double figures in scoring.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 19 playoff home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last 11 Western Conference First Round road games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last eight playoff home games following a loss.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won nine of their last 10 night games following a home win.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six Western Conference First Round games as underdogs.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Chase Center.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
- Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Steven Adams ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.8) this season.
- Alperen Sengun ranks 5th in the league for points in the paint (1012) this season.
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction
The Warriors are coming in with a full squad once again, while the Rockets are still without Jae’Sean Tate and Jock Landale. The Warriors didn’t look good at all in Wednesday’s blowout loss, but there was always a chance that they could take their foot off the gas with a 3-1 series lead.
The Rockets were able to fully capitalize on the Warriors’ mistakes, and they kept a lid on Curry the entire game. However, they lost both of their road games in this series, so they certainly have their backs against the wall. I would love to see this series go to a Game 7, but with what is at stake. It’s hard to go past the veteran Warriors to seal the deal with a win and cover at home behind a big game from Curry.
