Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction 5/12/25 NBA Picks Today

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves are now in control after taking a 2-1 series lead with a 102-97 road win over the Warriors on Saturday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 36 points on 13 of 28 shooting, Julius Randle racked up a triple-double of 24 points with 10 rebounds and 12 assists while Jaden McDaniels chipped in with 15 points, six rebounds and two blocks.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going and looked to be in trouble when they trailed by six points in the fourth quarter. Before they went on a pivotal 21-9 run to reclaim the lead and pull away for the narrow win and cover on the road. Mike Conley had another quiet game as he scored just seven points on three of nine shooting, while the bench combined for just 11 points.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors are now in a bit of trouble after coming up just short to the Timberwolves in a tough 102-97 home defeat in Game 3 on Saturday. Jimmy Butler III led the team with 33 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists. Jonathan Kuminga added 30 points with six rebounds and three assists off the bench. Buddy Hield chipped in with 14 points and five assists, but no other player finished in double figures in scoring.

As a team, the Warriors shot 43 percent from the field and 10 of 23 from the 3-point line as they played excellent defense to start the game. They held the Timberwolves to just 40 points in the first half to lead for most of the game, until the fourth quarter, where they went cold and opened the door for the Timberwolves to slip away. Draymond Green had a rough outing as he scored just two points with five turnovers before fouling out of the game, while Brandin Podziemski finished with just five points on one of 10 shooting.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
• The Timberwolves have lost four of their last six playoff games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Monday games as favorites.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have lost four of their last five home games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 Monday games at Chase Center.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Jimmy Butler has recorded three career playoff triple-doubles.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (66.9%) this season.
• Anthony Edwards ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves expect to have a full squad once again while the Warriors are still missing a key player in Stephen Curry who remains out with a hamstring injury. The Timberwolves were far from convincing in their narrow win in Game 3, but in the end they were good enough to take advantage of a shorthanded Warriors team on the road. It was certainly a close contest from start to finish thanks to big games from Butler III and Kuminga, but they got next to nothing from Podziemski who had a game to forget on Saturday.

The Timberwolves were far from dominant in Game 3, but they were able to pull away behind the strength of their defense, which held the Warriors to just 97 points on Saturday. The pressure is on the Warriors to defend their home court and square up the series, but they are so much easier to defend when Curry is on the sidelines. So, I will stick with the Timberwolves to take care of business once again.