Wizards vs Heat Prediction 2/8/26 NBA Picks Today
Miami Heat (27-26) vs. Washington Wizards (14-37)
February 8, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Wizards +11.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Washington Wizards meet Sunday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Wizards vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Hawks and Celtics, and they play the Jazz next. The Heat have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 119.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards beat the Pistons, lost to the Nets, and they play the Cavs next. The Wizards have lost 41 of their last 57 games.
The Washington Wizards are averaging 112.4 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 122.7 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Alex Sarr is averaging 17.3 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Kyshawn George is averaging 15.1 points and 4.9 assists. Tre Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Khris Middleton is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The Wizards have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Heat have lost each of their last three games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last six day games at Capital One Arena following a road loss.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Wizards have lost each of their last 13 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have won nine of their last 10 road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last eight games following a loss.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Wizards’ last 12 games against the Heat following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Wizards Player Facts
- Bub Carrington ranks 11th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.2%) this season.
- Justin Champagnie ranks 12th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.7) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Davion Mitchell has recorded nine games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks 3rd amongst qualified Guards for FG% (51.8%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-10.4).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.5).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).
Wizards vs Heat Injury Report
The Wizards are without Trae Young, Cam Whitmore, Anthony Davis, Dante Exum, and Tre Johnson. Jaden Hardy and D’Angelo Russell are questionable.
The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Pelle Larsson is doubtful, and Norman Powell is questionable.
Wizards vs Heat Prediction
The Wizards are awful and on the end of a back-to-back. The Heat should win this game in blowout fashion. However, the Heat are notorious for playing down to their level of competition. Furthermore, this will be just the first time since November that the Heat are a double-digit favorite. The Heat are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games in such a role. The Heat aren’t a good team, and they still have a habit of putting together historically bad third quarters. It’s clockwork. I’m not laying this many points with the Heat. It’s Wizards and the points or pass for me.

