ATS Pick: Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Picks, Predictions 10/4/20
Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Indianapolis Colts (2-1) at Chicago Bears (3-0)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 4, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Soldier Field)
The Line: Chicago Bears +2.5 -- Over/Under: 45 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at Soldier Field.
The Indianapolis Colts look for their third straight victory to get off to an impressive 3-1 start. The Indianapolis Colts have lost six straight road games. Philip Rivers is completing 78.3 percent of his passes for 794 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Rivers has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last 12 games. Mo Alie-Cox and TY Hilton have combined for 314 receiving yards and one touchdown while Nyheim Hines has 13 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 119.5 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 182 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 15 points and 225.3 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 27 tackles, Justin Houston has 2.5 sacks and TJ Carrie has two interceptions.
The Chicago Bears have a chance to start 4-0 for the first time since 2006 when they made the Super Bowl. The Chicago Bears have won four of their last five home games. Nick Foles is completing 55.2 percent of his passes for 188 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Foles and Mitchell Trubisky have combined for nine touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. Allen Robinson II and Anthony Miller have combined for 347 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jimmy Graham has 10 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 138 yards per contest, and David Montgomery leads the way with 191 yards on 43 carries. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 20.7 points and 364 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Chicago Bears with 21 tackles, Akiem Hicks has 3.5 sacks and Kyle Fuller has one interception.
The Colts are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The under is 15-6 in Bears last 21 games overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This is going to be an interesting matchup, as these are two of the better defenses in the league through three games, with the Colts leading the way in terms of yards allowed per game. The Colts are probably the better team overall, but I'm not sure I trust Rivers on the road against an aggressive defense like the Bears that pressures the quarterback and can force turnovers. The Bears also announced that Foles is going to be the starting quarterback this week, which makes me feel a lot more confident about that Chicago offense. This feels like a game where Rivers is going to make a couple of mistakes and it could cost the Colts the game late.
Give me the Bears and the points.