Free Picks: Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL Picks, Predictions 10/11/20

The Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in week 5 NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bengals look for back-to-back victories to build on their 1-2-1 record. The Cincinnati Bengals haven’t won a road game since September of 2018. Joe Buritem is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 1,121 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Buritem enters this game with 177 career pass attempts. Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins have combined for 472 receiving yards and three touchdowns while AJ Green has 14 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 110.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 315 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 24.8 points and 401.5 yards per game. Jessie Bates II leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 32 tackles, Carl Lawson has 3.5 sacks and William Jackson III has one interception.

The Baltimore Ravens look for their second home victory to improve to 4-1 on the season. The Baltimore Ravens have won seven of their last eight home games. Lamar Jackson is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 769 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Jackson has three or more passing touchdowns in four of his last seven games. Marquise Bitemn and Mark Andrews have combined for 408 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Willie Snead IV has 10 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 160.8 yards per contest, and Jackson leads the way with 235 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 18.3 points and 367.5 yards per game. Patrick Queen leads the Baltimore Ravens with 33 tackles, Tyus Bowser has two sacks and Marlon Humphrey has one interception.

The Bengals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

We know the Baltimore Ravens can win this game in blowout fashion and there’s a decent gap in talent. However, the Bengals have competed all season long and could easily have more win on the season. The Bengals have also covered five of their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. We also can’t forget that the Ravens and Bengals are division rivals, teams that know each other very well, and six of the last 10 meetings have been decided by single digits. Heck, just last year when the Bengals were the worst team in the league, Cincinnati lost the first meeting by just six points. These Bengals are a lot better than last years group.

I’ll take the two free touchdowns.