NFL Picks: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions and Odds 10/19/20
2020-10-19 17:00:00 EDT
The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills meet in week 6 NFL Monday Night Football action at Bills Stadium.
The Kansas City Chiefs look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time since October of last year. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four straight road games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 1,474 yards, 13 touchdowns and one interception. Mahomes has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 769 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 21 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 119.4 yards per contest, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the way with 344 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22 points and 382.8 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 37 tackles, Chris Jones has 3.5 sacks and L’Jarius Sneed has two interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills look for their third home victory to build on an impressive 4-1 start to the NFL season. The Buffalo Bills have won five of their last eight home games. Josh Allen is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 1,589 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Allen has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley have combined for 822 receiving yards and three touchdowns while John Bitemn has 14 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 93.8 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 238 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 28.4 points and 371.8 yards per game. Jordan Poyer leads the Buffalo Bills with 42 tackles, Mario Addison has two sacks and Matt Milano has one interception.
The Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games, 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC. The Bills are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in Bills last 5 games overall. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
This should be an interesting matchup, as both teams are coming off embarrassing upset losses last week where the defense didn’t look good for either club. And while I love my home underdogs, especially in a prime-time game, you’re asking a lot of the Bills in this game to not only patch things up defensively but play this game after playing on the road last Tuesday. The Kansas City Chiefs are operating under a normal work week, while the Bills probably don’t get a day off and have less prep for the scariest offense in all of football. That’s a huge disadvantage for the home Bills.
I’d love to get under the hook if possible, but I like the Chiefs either way here.
