Bills vs. Bengals Pick – NFL Predictions & Odds 1/22/23

The Cincinnati Bengals and the Buffalo Bills meet in an AFC divisional round playoff matchup from Highmark Stadium on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

The Buffalo Bills are currently listed as 5-point favorites with an attached ML price of -230. The over/under for this game is set at 50.5 points.

Injuries

The Bengals have three new additions to the injury report at the time that this article was published, with Jonah Williams, Alex Cappa and Jalen Davis all listed as questionable for this game. On Buffalo’s side, three players of their own have been added to the injury report at this time, with Christian Benford, Isaiah McKenzie and Jordan Phillips all questionable for this game.

Matchup history

These two teams met in the regular season, but due to the on-field incident regarding Buffalo DB Damar Hamlin, the game was cancelled. The last meeting to be completed came in September 2019, in a game that Buffalo won 21-17.

Trends

Cincinnati is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record and 36-17 ATS in their last 53 road games while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.

Pick

I’m leaning towards the Bengals here. I just think this is a case of too many points, and the issues for the Bills in putting away Miami last week really opened my eyes a bit. Cincinnati was in cruise control early in the meeting between the two earlier this season before the previously mentioned incident on the field, and I think if the game had carried on as normal, that Cincinnati would’ve taken it to the Bills. The Bengals have some concerns with injuries on the offensive line, but this Cincinnati offense is too good just to be handing points out to. Give me Cincinnati and the points here.